What the world’s prediction markets expect — read as news
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?: 21% → 98%
Automated edition: today's largest probability moves, reported directly from market prices.
Today's automated edition — the numbers, straight from the markets. The crowd's biggest repricings: Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? moved from 21% to 98% over the last 24h; StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? moved from 60% to 2% over the last 7d; Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? moved from 24% to 64% over the last 7d; Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? moved from 55% to 4% over the last 7d. Full section tables below.
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
21%→98%24h
$215,090 traded · 24h
Economy & Crypto
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
60%→1.7%7d
$10,893 traded · 24h
Sports
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
24%→64%7d
$86,861 traded · 24h
Science & Tech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
55%→4.3%7d
$8,678 traded · 24h
Sports
Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?
23%→68%7d
$7,901 traded · 24h
Politics & Elections
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
58%→92%7d
$37,146 traded · 24h
Sports
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
23%→62%7d
$7,249 traded · 24h
Economy & Crypto
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
43%→72%7d
$7,113 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Markets price: Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...? — October 14 at 20% (-38 pts/24h, -34 pts/7d); Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? — November 30 at 29% (-3 pts/24h, -20 pts/7d).
Markets price: Next Prime Minister of Romania? — Luca Niculescu at 92% (+34 pts/7d); Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...? — December 31 at 39% (+13 pts/24h).
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%▲ 4 24hFlávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 4 24h
Economy & Crypto
Markets price: StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $50M at 2% (-19 pts/24h, -58 pts/7d); Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $200M at 52% (+30 pts/24h, +10 pts/7d).
Markets price: Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? — Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? at 98% (+76 pts/24h); Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — October 17 at 4% (-15 pts/24h, -50 pts/7d).
Markets price: Highest ACS at VALORANT Champions 2026 — Cryocells at 49% (+47 pts/24h, +46 pts/7d); MLB World Series Champion 2026 — Milwaukee Brewers at 64% (+7 pts/24h, +40 pts/7d).
Markets price: "Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31? — 150 - 160m at 87% (-8 pts/24h, +13 pts/7d); # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on day 1? — 20-40M at 100%.